Published Research — SSRN Working Paper
Multi-Scale Signal Decomposition for Market-Neutral Equity Strategies
Austin Lazar • Protean Asset Management LLC • May 2026
Ensembling conviction signals across multiple temporal scales produces systematically superior risk-adjusted returns versus any single-timeframe approach. Applied to a point-in-time S&P 500 universe over 1,045 trading days with walk-forward validation showing out-of-sample Sharpe of 3.96 exceeding in-sample Sharpe of 2.11.
2.68
Sharpe Ratio
27.3%
CAGR
−4.1%
Max Drawdown
−0.028
Beta to SPY
Read full paper on SSRN
Macro — Liquidity Regime
Macro Fractal Complexity
Cross-Asset Liquidity Regime Classification | D(20) Fractal Dimension | 22 Macro Securities | Week Ended May 22, 2026
Macro Fractal Complexity Scan
Macro — Leading Indicator
CPDP Model vs PCE — 16-Month Leading Indicator
CPDP Model (16mo lag) vs PCE CYOY Index | Proprietary Framework | Monthly Data
PCE CYOY Index (LHS)
CPDP Model 16mo Lag (RHS)
CPDP Forward Projection
As of March 23, 2026 | Correlation = 74.1% | R² = 54.9% | Proprietary CPDP Framework © Protean Asset Management
74.1%
Correlation
54.9%
R-Squared
3.40%
PCE Target (Model)
Macro — Policy Rate Framework
Multi-Modal Policy Rate Model
Adaptive & Coincident Model Range vs Fed Funds Upper Bound | Proprietary Framework | March 2021 – March 2026
Multi-Modal Policy Rate Model
3.75%
Fed Funds (UB)
4.74 – 6.28%
Model-Implied Range
–0.99%
Gap Below Floor
Microstructure — Dealer Positioning
Dual-Product Dealer Gamma Map — SPX + SPY Unified
Proprietary GEX Framework | Black-Scholes Gamma | Bloomberg OMON Data | As of April 16, 2026 (EoD)
Dual-Product Dealer Gamma Map
~6,975
Gamma Flip
+$28.2B
Net GEX / 1%
0.27x
Combined PCR
2.04M
OI @ 7,000 Magnet